How BoxDex works

BoxDex is designed around a collecting mechanic, not one manufacturer. Its first verified catalog contains 23 Skullpanda and Nommi series, while custom odds input and the underlying collection model are brand-independent.

What is implemented in the MVP build

Album and collection state

• Browse brands and series; mark figures owned, wanted or duplicated.
• Keep a copy count, attach your own photo and undo accidental changes.
• See progress per series and collection-level totals.
• Store collection state locally on the device, without an account or backend.

Probability tools

• Calculate the chance of at least one target with P = 1 − (1 − p)ⁿ.
• Select catalog odds or enter a custom “1 in N” value for another product.
• Run a 1,000-trial full-set simulation that includes duplicates and reports mean, median and p90 boxes.
• Include or exclude secrets from the full-set target.

Share cards

The build can create collection-progress and fresh-pull cards from text, generic graphics and the collector’s own photos, then open the phone’s share sheet. It does not auto-post. Official toy artwork is not embedded in the app cards.

How odds are handled

Every probability should answer two questions: what is the number? and how do we know? Catalog values carry one of three confidence labels: official, pattern, or community. Estimated values remain visibly estimated in the UI.

The direct calculator assumes equal, independent per-box odds. Packaging rules can make boxes within a sealed case dependent, so the result is not a guarantee. Read the full odds methodology and live calculator.

What the product does not currently do

• No public download yet. The site currently collects a launch waitlist.
• No marketplace or trade matching. BoxDex does not mediate payments, shipping or disputes.
• No account or cloud sync in the MVP. Collection data remains on one device.
• No release calendar in the MVP. That would require ongoing multi-source curation.
• No guaranteed outcomes. Calculators describe probability and simulations, not future pulls.

Catalog scope versus product scope

The launch seed is deliberately narrow enough to verify: 14 Skullpanda series and 9 Nommi series, 238 figures in the current app catalog. These are the starting data, not the product’s identity. The model supports multiple brands, varying series sizes, regular / secret / super-secret tiers and custom odds.

More brands are a direction, not a current availability claim. BoxLore content helps test which collections people actually care about before catalog work is expanded.

BoxLore: the research and story layer

BoxLore covers the artists, ideas, rarity and collector math behind blind-box series. Its first published episode is Skullpanda Explained: Pop Mart’s Strangest Hit. The channel and app are independent fan projects and are not affiliated with the brands discussed.

Website privacy and purchasing

This website currently asks only for an email address through Kit when someone joins the waitlist. It has no checkout and does not sell BoxDex. App pricing and store availability will be published only when they are real public offers.